Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.5 – 82.76

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

247 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 46.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 418.5 ±11.7

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 56.28Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3719STEM Whalers

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 10.97Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 109.25Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 289.7 ±11.7

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 53.54Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 38.69Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX -9.47Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1699, 3719, 78

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1699, 3719, 78

Auto

26.1 14%

Teleop

112.5 62%

Endgame

43.1 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 61, 2262, 8544

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 61, 2262, 8544

Auto

28.6 40%

Teleop

-12.0 0%

Endgame

55.5 77%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score176.5pts

Blue projected score82.8pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.7
Score range: 52–208
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 308 vs event baseline 172.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

418.5Season APEX289.7

26.1Auto28.6

112.5Teleop-12

43.1Endgame55.5

108Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	10
teleop	156	43
endgame	84	8
foul	0	0
total	247	61

Result

Final score

247 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 46.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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