Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.48 – 118.91

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

128 – 199

Prediction correct · off by 67.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 411 ±9.8

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 35.75Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 30.54Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 6.19Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 394.7 ±12.4

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 13.33Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3464Sim-City

Season APEX 74.8Event APEX -2.64Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10254Regal Seagulls

Season APEX 269Event APEX 108.22Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2079, 348, 1350

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2079, 348, 1350

Auto

30.7 47%

Teleop

18.8 29%

Endgame

16.2 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4176, 3464, 10254

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4176, 3464, 10254

Auto

48.2 40%

Teleop

47.9 40%

Endgame

23.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.5pts

Blue projected score118.9pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46.4
Score range: 41–150
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 327 vs event baseline 172.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

411Season APEX394.7

30.7Auto48.2

18.8Teleop47.9

16.2Endgame23.7

87Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	30
teleop	80	116
endgame	15	53
foul	0	0
total	128	199

Result

Final score

128 – 199

Prediction correct · off by 67.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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