Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.89 – 454.59

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 594

Prediction correct · off by 77.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288.6 ±11

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 39.23Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 26.13Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 5.53Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 812 ±8.8

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 161.08Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 79.5Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 214.01Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10063, 6620, 8544

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.9 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10063, 6620, 8544

Auto

9.6 13%

Teleop

32.9 45%

Endgame

31.1 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1768, 78, 5687

/ 100 compat

Projected

454.6 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1768, 78, 5687

Auto

88.2 20%

Teleop

262.9 59%

Endgame

91.3 21%

Strengths

· 5687 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.5 · Blue 2.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.9pts

Blue projected score454.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -383.7
Score range: 41–485
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 649 vs event baseline 165.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288.6Season APEX812

9.6Auto88.2

32.9Teleop262.9

31.1Endgame91.3

64Consistency145

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	113
teleop	29	366
endgame	11	115
foul	5	0
total	55	594

Result

Final score

55 – 594

Prediction correct · off by 77.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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