Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.17 – 130.86

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

183 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 62.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 412.5 ±11.7

6333Scavenger Robotics

Season APEX 92.9Event APEX 102.44Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 29.99Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX -4.26Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 455 ±11.2

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX -1.77Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10254Regal Seagulls

Season APEX 269Event APEX 64.35Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 68.28Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6333, 6324, 4176

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6333, 6324, 4176

Auto

19.3 17%

Teleop

76.8 69%

Endgame

15.7 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8544, 10254, 5494

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8544, 10254, 5494

Auto

26.1 18%

Teleop

61.4 41%

Endgame

60.6 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.2pts

Blue projected score130.9pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2.7
Score range: 98–161
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 384 vs event baseline 165.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

412.5Season APEX455

19.3Auto26.1

76.8Teleop61.4

15.7Endgame60.6

157Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	60
teleop	65	106
endgame	59	30
foul	0	5
total	183	201

Result

Final score

183 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 62.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.