Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

325.95 – 108.67

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

321 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 13.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 563.4 ±11.2

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 24.55Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 257.76Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5112The Gongoliers

Season APEX 153Event APEX 43.64Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.1 ±10.4

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 19.73Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 7.57Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1119Pup Cups

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 81.37Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2262, 5687, 5112

/ 100 compat

Projected

326 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2262, 5687, 5112

Auto

83.3 26%

Teleop

178.2 56%

Endgame

57.0 18%

Strengths

· 5687 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3623, 1350, 1119

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3623, 1350, 1119

Auto

11.9 11%

Teleop

48.0 45%

Endgame

46.7 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score326pts

Blue projected score108.7pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 217.3
Score range: 73–362
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 407 vs event baseline 201.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

563.4Season APEX275.1

83.3Auto11.9

178.2Teleop48

57Endgame46.7

18Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	17
teleop	196	23
endgame	56	46
foul	0	0
total	321	86

Result

Final score

321 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 13.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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