Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

253.71 – 219.72

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

348 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 98 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 523.1 ±10.8

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 56.11Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1119Pup Cups

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 54.78Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 142.82Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.5 ±10.4

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 84.54Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 45.89Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 89.29Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2262, 1119, 1768

/ 100 compat

Projected

253.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2262, 1119, 1768

Auto

29.6 12%

Teleop

134.1 54%

Endgame

83.7 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 61, 2079, 1153

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 61, 2079, 1153

Auto

71.4 34%

Teleop

92.9 44%

Endgame

44.6 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score253.7pts

Blue projected score219.7pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 34
Score range: 190–284
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 466 vs event baseline 165.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

523.1Season APEX423.5

29.6Auto71.4

134.1Teleop92.9

83.7Endgame44.6

94Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	58
teleop	190	27
endgame	107	33
foul	0	0
total	348	118

Result

Final score

348 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 98 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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