Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.95 – 247.63

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

89 – 367

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 280.7 ±12.8

2168Aluminum Falcons

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 61.69Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1699Robocats

Season APEX 194.3Event APEX 4.59Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX -7.33Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 484.4 ±10.5

663Power Sharks

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 21.55Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 158.2Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 67.88Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2168, 1699, 1474

/ 100 compat

Projected

59 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2168, 1699, 1474

Auto

4.0 6%

Teleop

31.7 51%

Endgame

26.9 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 663, 5687, 1735

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 663, 5687, 1735

Auto

47.4 19%

Teleop

138.6 55%

Endgame

67.7 27%

Strengths

· 5687 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score59pts

Blue projected score247.6pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -188.7
Score range: 30–277
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 456 vs event baseline 161.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

280.7Season APEX484.4

4Auto47.4

31.7Teleop138.6

26.9Endgame67.7

160Consistency162

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	111
teleop	51	159
endgame	11	57
foul	5	40
total	89	367

Result

Final score

89 – 367

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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