Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

84.24 – 50.99

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

118 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.9 ±11.7

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 34.52Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6367The ElectroLights

Season APEX 77.7Event APEX 3.72Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 46Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 183.9 ±12.2

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX -8.64Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 82.93Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX -23.3Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2079, 6367, 10063

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2079, 6367, 10063

Auto

33.9 45%

Teleop

45.3 60%

Endgame

-4.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6620, 61, 1474

/ 100 compat

Projected

51 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6620, 61, 1474

Auto

15.3 40%

Teleop

11.2 29%

Endgame

12.1 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.2pts

Blue projected score51pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample158alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.2
Score range: 21–114
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 166.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

365.9Season APEX183.9

33.9Auto15.3

45.3Teleop11.2

-4.2Endgame12.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	28
teleop	74	24
endgame	14	31
foul	0	0
total	118	83

Result

Final score

118 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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