Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
68.97 – 71.31
49%51%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
163 – 164
Prediction correct · off by 93.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 6.97Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 37.37Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 24.63Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 64.16Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 5.73Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 1.42Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3464, 2168, 78
37
/ 100 compatProjected
69 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3464, 2168, 78
Auto
5.5 8%
Teleop
30.4 44%
Endgame
33.5 48%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5494, 663, 6324
35
/ 100 compatProjected
71.3 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5494, 663, 6324
Auto
36.9 55%
Teleop
30.8 46%
Endgame
-0.1 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.63
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score69pts
Blue projected score71.3pts
Red win probability49%
Event bonus sample158alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -2.3
- Score range
- 39–101
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
319.6Season APEX423.6
5.5Auto36.9
30.4Teleop30.8
33.5Endgame-0.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 8 |
| teleop | 99 | 85 |
| endgame | 28 | 71 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 163 | 164 |
Result
Final score
163 – 164
Prediction correct · off by 93.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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