Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.04 – 169.94

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 3.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.3 ±19.1

2626Evolution

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 41.73Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

7700West Tech Paladins

Provisional

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 28.55Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

5618PLS

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 49.76Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.7 ±18.5

5443Les PATenteux

Provisional

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 21.47Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8152Escouade

Season APEX 115.5Event APEX 102.45Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

8132Sysmik

Season APEX 67.1Event APEX 46.02Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2626, 7700, 5618

/ 100 compat

Projected

120 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2626, 7700, 5618

Auto

23.2 21%

Teleop

70.9 63%

Endgame

18.1 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5443, 8152, 8132

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.9 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 5443, 8152, 8132

Auto

31.3 19%

Teleop

86.3 53%

Endgame

44.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score120pts

Blue projected score169.9pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.9
Score range: 93–197
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 284 vs event baseline 150.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

217.3Season APEX231.7

23.2Auto31.3

70.9Teleop86.3

18.1Endgame44.7

31Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	23
teleop	65	120
endgame	25	27
foul	0	0
total	114	170

Result

Final score

114 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 3.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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