Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

116.31 – 88.09

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

80 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 34.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.1 ±18.6

6872Panthera Ferro

Provisional

Season APEX 39.7Event APEX 5.1Rank 30Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9624Dynamiques 9624

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 61.87Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2626Evolution

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 49.34Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.8 ±18.8

7700West Tech Paladins

Provisional

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 26.27Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

296Northern Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 24Event APEX -6.97Rank 36Record 1-10-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4627Manning Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 68.79Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6872, 9624, 2626

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6872, 9624, 2626

Auto

28.3 25%

Teleop

69.9 62%

Endgame

14.6 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 7700, 296, 4627

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.1 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7700, 296, 4627

Auto

7.5 9%

Teleop

49.6 58%

Endgame

28.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score116.3pts

Blue projected score88.1pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 28.2
Score range: 58–146
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 136 vs event baseline 164.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.1Season APEX176.8

28.3Auto7.5

69.9Teleop49.6

14.6Endgame28.4

102Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	6
teleop	54	39
endgame	4	11
foul	0	0
total	80	56

Result

Final score

80 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 34.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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