Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.37 – 197.01

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 25.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 151.9 ±20.2

6872Panthera Ferro

Provisional

Season APEX 39.7Event APEX 12.97Rank 30Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8067Alpha Lab

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 60.11Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

3533Mekano

Provisional

Season APEX 38.1Event APEX 15.29Rank 32Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.2 ±16.2

4952Les Carnicas

Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 101.28Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79

5800Magic Island Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 53.58Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9234Les aigles d'or

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 42.15Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6872, 8067, 3533

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.4 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 6872, 8067, 3533

Auto

16.4 19%

Teleop

45.6 53%

Endgame

24.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4952, 5800, 9234

/ 100 compat

Projected

197 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4952, 5800, 9234

Auto

20.8 11%

Teleop

120.0 62%

Endgame

54.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1 · Blue 2.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score88.4pts

Blue projected score197pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -108.6
Score range: 61–224
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 235 vs event baseline 148.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

151.9Season APEX273.2

16.4Auto20.8

45.6Teleop120

24.7Endgame54.2

96Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	48
teleop	23	106
endgame	30	11
foul	0	5
total	65	170

Result

Final score

65 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 25.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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