Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.37 – 141.06

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.8 ±20.8

6869Gladiateurs

Provisional

Season APEX 53.2Event APEX 39.13Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3532Piranhas

Provisional

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 31.87Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3985Sonic Howl

Provisional

Season APEX 31.8Event APEX -10.63Rank 33Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.5 ±16.9

5800Magic Island Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 60.47Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8224STEM 4 ALL

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 41.57Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

5618PLS

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 39.02Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6869, 3532, 3985

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 6869, 3532, 3985

Auto

18.5 34%

Teleop

19.9 36%

Endgame

16.2 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5800, 8224, 5618

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.1 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 5800, 8224, 5618

Auto

27.1 19%

Teleop

77.9 55%

Endgame

36.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.08 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score60.4pts

Blue projected score141.1pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -80.7
Score range: 30–171
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 96 vs event baseline 164.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

156.8Season APEX214.5

18.5Auto27.1

19.9Teleop77.9

16.2Endgame36.8

62Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	16
teleop	5	47
endgame	5	3
foul	5	0
total	30	66

Result

Final score

30 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 52.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.