Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

109.71 – 89.52

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

138 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 24.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.5 ±19.7

5443Les PATenteux

Provisional

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 22.75Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3975Les Dragons

Provisional

Season APEX 80.4Event APEX 28.62Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

5439Huskies

Season APEX 84Event APEX 58.34Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 181 ±19.7

7700West Tech Paladins

Provisional

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 26.01Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6872Panthera Ferro

Provisional

Season APEX 39.7Event APEX 10.01Rank 30Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3996RIKITIK

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 53.5Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5443, 3975, 5439

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.7 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 5443, 3975, 5439

Auto

29.9 29%

Teleop

44.3 43%

Endgame

29.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7700, 6872, 3996

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.5 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7700, 6872, 3996

Auto

16.7 18%

Teleop

58.6 65%

Endgame

15.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score109.7pts

Blue projected score89.5pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 20.2
Score range: 64–136
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 248 vs event baseline 144.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

213.5Season APEX181

29.9Auto16.7

44.3Teleop58.6

29.4Endgame15

43Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	26
teleop	53	44
endgame	48	40
foul	0	0
total	138	110

Result

Final score

138 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 24.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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