Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

98.85 – 290.5

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

158 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 52.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.4 ±18.5

6622Stan Robotix

Provisional

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 11.42Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3996RIKITIK

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 47.86Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80

6929Cuivre & Or

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 39.57Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 340.4 ±17.5

3986Express-O

Season APEX 147.2Event APEX 124.64Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 85

3360Hyperion

Season APEX 123.7Event APEX 125.37Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 85

7700West Tech Paladins

Provisional

Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 40.49Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6622, 3996, 6929

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.9 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6622, 3996, 6929

Auto

22.2 22%

Teleop

50.1 50%

Endgame

27.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3986, 3360, 7700

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.5 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 3986, 3360, 7700

Auto

40.9 15%

Teleop

185.9 67%

Endgame

49.3 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score98.9pts

Blue projected score290.5pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -191.6
Score range: 74–316
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 403 vs event baseline 140.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.4Season APEX340.4

22.2Auto40.9

50.1Teleop185.9

27.3Endgame49.3

70Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	59
teleop	84	139
endgame	44	42
foul	0	5
total	158	245

Result

Final score

158 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 52.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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