Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

132.6 – 188.91

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

94 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 35.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.5 ±18.5

5439Huskies

Season APEX 84Event APEX 61Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

4955LA Tech

Provisional

Season APEX 54.6Event APEX 22.24Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9234Les aigles d'or

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 49.36Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 319.7 ±16.4

8152Escouade

Season APEX 115.5Event APEX 85.59Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

5528Ultime

Season APEX 136.5Event APEX 88.84Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8224STEM 4 ALL

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 14.48Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5439, 4955, 9234

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.6 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5439, 4955, 9234

Auto

26.8 21%

Teleop

72.5 58%

Endgame

26.4 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8152, 5528, 8224

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.9 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 8152, 5528, 8224

Auto

37.1 21%

Teleop

104.0 59%

Endgame

35.9 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.26 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score132.6pts

Blue projected score188.9pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.3
Score range: 108–214
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 139.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215.5Season APEX319.7

26.8Auto37.1

72.5Teleop104

26.4Endgame35.9

54Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	39
teleop	36	117
endgame	48	26
foul	0	40
total	94	222

Result

Final score

94 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 35.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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