Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

159.76 – 122.95

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

111 – 267

Prediction missed · off by 96.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 216.4 ±18.5

296Northern Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 24Event APEX 15.46Rank 36Record 1-10-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9234Les aigles d'or

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 54.77Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

8152Escouade

Season APEX 115.5Event APEX 89.53Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.4 ±16.2

4952Les Carnicas

Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 83.11Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79

5439Huskies

Season APEX 84Event APEX 28.08Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

4627Manning Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 11.76Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 296, 9234, 8152

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 296, 9234, 8152

Auto

14.4 10%

Teleop

82.7 60%

Endgame

41.2 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4952, 5439, 4627

/ 100 compat

Projected

123 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 4952, 5439, 4627

Auto

8.5 7%

Teleop

91.5 77%

Endgame

18.4 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score159.8pts

Blue projected score123pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.8
Score range: 98–185
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 378 vs event baseline 137.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

216.4Season APEX284.4

14.4Auto8.5

82.7Teleop91.5

41.2Endgame18.4

48Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	36
teleop	90	170
endgame	0	56
foul	5	5
total	111	267

Result

Final score

111 – 267

Prediction missed · off by 96.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.