Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

188.69 – 95.03

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

174 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.6 ±17.5

3360Hyperion

Season APEX 123.7Event APEX 92.45Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 85

7605ASTRO

Season APEX 121.5Event APEX 62.58Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3975Les Dragons

Provisional

Season APEX 80.4Event APEX 33.66Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 165.8 ±19.1

9234Les aigles d'or

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 57.62Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

7471Robo Montagnards

Provisional

Season APEX 19.7Event APEX 3.58Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3550Robotronix

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 33.83Rank 13Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3360, 7605, 3975

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.7 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 3360, 7605, 3975

Auto

40.5 24%

Teleop

106.1 64%

Endgame

19.1 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9234, 7471, 3550

/ 100 compat

Projected

95 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9234, 7471, 3550

Auto

18.8 19%

Teleop

51.0 51%

Endgame

29.9 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.2 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score188.7pts

Blue projected score95pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.7
Score range: 65–219
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 196 vs event baseline 164.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.6Season APEX165.8

40.5Auto18.8

106.1Teleop51

19.1Endgame29.9

129Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	5
teleop	111	4
endgame	10	13
foul	15	0
total	174	22

Result

Final score

174 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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