Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

249.3 – 94.5

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

316 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.3 ±15.8

6364Ten Ton

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 75.21Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3986Express-O

Season APEX 147.2Event APEX 132.87Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 85

2626Evolution

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 41.22Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.6 ±19.6

8224STEM 4 ALL

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 22.01Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

3532Piranhas

Provisional

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -4.89Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8067Alpha Lab

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 77.38Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6364, 3986, 2626

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.3 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6364, 3986, 2626

Auto

39.8 17%

Teleop

149.5 63%

Endgame

47.4 20%

Strengths

· 3986 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8224, 3532, 8067

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.5 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8224, 3532, 8067

Auto

26.1 27%

Teleop

35.4 37%

Endgame

34.5 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score249.3pts

Blue projected score94.5pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 154.8
Score range: 71–273
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 389 vs event baseline 136.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

335.3Season APEX213.6

39.8Auto26.1

149.5Teleop35.4

47.4Endgame34.5

81Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	26
teleop	205	25
endgame	63	22
foul	0	0
total	316	73

Result

Final score

316 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.