Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

28.13 – 124.91

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

23 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 106.9 ±20.8

7471Robo Montagnards

Provisional

Season APEX 19.7Event APEX -32.69Rank 31Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3533Mekano

Provisional

Season APEX 38.1Event APEX 16.11Rank 32Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

5443Les PATenteux

Provisional

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 44.71Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.4 ±19.1

6869Gladiateurs

Provisional

Season APEX 53.2Event APEX 60.37Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

5439Huskies

Season APEX 84Event APEX 40.83Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

2626Evolution

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 23.71Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7471, 3533, 5443

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.1 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 7471, 3533, 5443

Auto

-2.1 0%

Teleop

13.6 48%

Endgame

16.7 59%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6869, 5439, 2626

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.9 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6869, 5439, 2626

Auto

26.9 23%

Teleop

70.1 60%

Endgame

19.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score28.1pts

Blue projected score124.9pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -96.8
Score range: 4–149
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 135 vs event baseline 131.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

106.9Season APEX217.4

-2.1Auto26.9

13.6Teleop70.1

16.7Endgame19.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	32
teleop	7	71
endgame	1	9
foul	0	0
total	23	112

Result

Final score

23 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.