Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 90

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

330.25 – 315.65

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

367 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 21.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 518.2 ±9.8

1595The Dragons

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 27.95Rank 34Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3674CloverBots

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 150.28Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4915Spartronics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 152.02Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 481.6 ±9.8

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 151.13Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4061SciBorgs

Season APEX 99.8Event APEX 72.21Rank 43Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

70342B Determined

Season APEX 128.9Event APEX 92.31Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1595, 3674, 4915

/ 100 compat

Projected

330.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1595, 3674, 4915

Auto

69.1 21%

Teleop

159.9 49%

Endgame

100.3 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5937, 4061, 7034

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5937, 4061, 7034

Auto

63.4 20%

Teleop

163.7 52%

Endgame

84.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score330.3pts

Blue projected score315.7pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 36%, blue 30%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 14.6
Score range: 255–391
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 689 vs event baseline 339.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

518.2Season APEX481.6

69.1Auto63.4

159.9Teleop163.7

100.3Endgame84.8

135Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	51
teleop	221	170
endgame	71	96
foul	0	5
total	367	322

Result

Final score

367 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 21.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.