Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 89

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

193.1 – 379.06

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

302 – 487

Prediction correct · off by 108.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 389.5 ±10.4

488Team XBOT

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 65.86Rank 33Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3663CPR - Cedar Park Robotics

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 26.84Rank 41Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10416Radical Raccoons

Season APEX 142.3Event APEX 100.4Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 580.9 ±9.8

9430CTEC Robotics

Season APEX 158.2Event APEX 122.08Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2976The Spartabots

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 69.93Rank 22Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 187.05Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 488, 3663, 10416

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 488, 3663, 10416

Auto

33.4 18%

Teleop

86.1 47%

Endgame

64.0 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9430, 2976, 4469

/ 100 compat

Projected

379.1 pts

~2.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9430, 2976, 4469

Auto

53.5 14%

Teleop

218.7 59%

Endgame

97.6 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.1 · Blue 2.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score193.1pts

Blue projected score379.1pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 40%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -186
Score range: 132–440
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 789 vs event baseline 338.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

389.5Season APEX580.9

33.4Auto53.5

86.1Teleop218.7

64Endgame97.6

113Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	80
teleop	115	302
endgame	125	105
foul	5	0
total	302	487

Result

Final score

302 – 487

Prediction correct · off by 108.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.