Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
162.32 – 162.32
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
137 – 274
Prediction missed · off by 68.5 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 333.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 91.7Event APEX -Rank 34Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 99.8Event APEX -Rank 43Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 142.3Event APEX -Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 523.6 ±8.8
Season APEX 272.4Event APEX -Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX -Rank 45Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 99.9Event APEX -Rank 40Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1595, 4061, 10416
50
/ 100 compatProjected
162.3 pts
~1.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 1595, 4061, 10416
Auto
48.7 30%
Teleop
81.2 50%
Endgame
32.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 31%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 360, 2811, 1983
50
/ 100 compatProjected
162.3 pts
~1.8 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 360, 2811, 1983
Auto
48.7 30%
Teleop
81.2 50%
Endgame
32.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 31%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.82
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score162.3pts
Blue projected score162.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample230alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 22%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 104–220
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
333.8Season APEX523.6
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 29 |
| teleop | 62 | 158 |
| endgame | 44 | 87 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 137 | 274 |
Result
Final score
137 – 274
Prediction missed · off by 68.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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