Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

242.13 – 216.75

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

362 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 83.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 487.8 ±9.8

4488Shockwave

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 91.83Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4061SciBorgs

Season APEX 99.8Event APEX 67.42Rank 43Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 82.88Rank 23Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 427.2 ±10.4

2471Team Mean Machine

Season APEX 182.8Event APEX 108.08Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10079Arrowdynamics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 97.11Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 11.56Rank 49Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4488, 4061, 2412

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4488, 4061, 2412

Auto

59.8 25%

Teleop

120.8 51%

Endgame

55.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2471, 10079, 8896

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2471, 10079, 8896

Auto

64.9 30%

Teleop

105.1 49%

Endgame

44.2 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score242.1pts

Blue projected score216.8pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 25.4
Score range: 157–302
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 626 vs event baseline 334.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

487.8Season APEX427.2

59.8Auto64.9

120.8Teleop105.1

55.9Endgame44.2

118Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	108
teleop	169	97
endgame	102	59
foul	15	0
total	362	264

Result

Final score

362 – 264

Prediction correct · off by 83.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.