Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

232.41 – 322.31

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

219 – 461

Prediction correct · off by 76.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 447 ±9.4

2811StormBots

Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 57.51Rank 45Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4131Iron Patriots

Season APEX 95.7Event APEX 83.75Rank 48Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1425Error Code Xero

Season APEX 200Event APEX 91.15Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.9 ±9.4

10416Radical Raccoons

Season APEX 142.3Event APEX 91.98Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

957SWARM - South and West Albany Robotics Maniacs

Season APEX 133.7Event APEX 104.56Rank 35Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 125.77Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2811, 4131, 1425

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2811, 4131, 1425

Auto

25.7 11%

Teleop

133.3 57%

Endgame

75.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10416, 957, 9023

/ 100 compat

Projected

322.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10416, 957, 9023

Auto

49.5 16%

Teleop

167.1 54%

Endgame

90.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.29 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score232.4pts

Blue projected score322.3pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 39%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.9
Score range: 172–382
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 680 vs event baseline 334.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

447Season APEX549.9

25.7Auto49.5

133.3Teleop167.1

75.8Endgame90.3

172Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	74
teleop	104	304
endgame	57	83
foul	5	0
total	219	461

Result

Final score

219 – 461

Prediction correct · off by 76.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.