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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

252.77 – 174.89

72%28%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

240 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 385.1 ±10.4
2521SERT
C
Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 85.13Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2976The Spartabots
C
Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 61.36Rank 22Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
492Titan Robotics Club
B
Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 106.28Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.8 ±10.4
997Spartan Robotics
B
Season APEX 143.7Event APEX 27.95Rank 37Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
488Team XBOT
C
Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 71.03Rank 33Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
4061SciBorgs
C
Season APEX 99.8Event APEX 75.91Rank 43Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2521, 2976, 492
55
/ 100 compat
Projected
252.8 pts
~2.5 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2521, 2976, 492
Auto
31.1 13%
Teleop
146.8 59%
Endgame
68.9 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 76%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 997, 488, 4061
46
/ 100 compat
Projected
174.9 pts
~1.5 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 997, 488, 4061
Auto
23.0 14%
Teleop
85.0 52%
Endgame
54.5 34%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 76%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.5 · Blue 1.46
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score252.8pts
Blue projected score174.9pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample230alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 76%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 27%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
77.9
Score range
115–313
Upset likelihood
28%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 364 vs event baseline 333.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

385.1Season APEX357.8
31.1Auto23
146.8Teleop85
68.9Endgame54.5
125Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto7346
teleop15139
endgame1639
foul00
total240124

Result

Final score

240 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 31.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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