Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
159.96 – 159.96
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
506 – 200
Prediction correct · off by 193 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 765.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 368.3Event APEX -Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 148.3Event APEX -Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 248.9Event APEX -Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402.5 ±10.4
Season APEX 132.9Event APEX -Rank 41Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 133.7Event APEX -Rank 35Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 135.9Event APEX -Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2910, 8051, 4450
50
/ 100 compatProjected
160 pts
~2.1 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2910, 8051, 4450
Auto
48.0 30%
Teleop
80.0 50%
Endgame
32.0 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 41%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3663, 957, 492
50
/ 100 compatProjected
160 pts
~1.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 3663, 957, 492
Auto
48.0 30%
Teleop
80.0 50%
Endgame
32.0 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 41%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.86
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score160pts
Blue projected score160pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample230alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 41%, blue 23%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 102–218
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
765.5Season APEX402.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 64 | 25 |
| teleop | 317 | 130 |
| endgame | 125 | 40 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 506 | 200 |
Result
Final score
506 – 200
Prediction correct · off by 193 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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