Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
516.45 – 212.99
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
405 – 389
Prediction correct · off by 143.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 662.3 ±9.4
Season APEX 348Event APEX 258.22Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 98.71Rank 33Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 200Event APEX 159.52Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 593 ±8.8
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 58.83Rank 45Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 141.21Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 278Event APEX 12.95Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2046, 488, 1425
88
/ 100 compatProjected
516.5 pts
~3.0 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2046, 488, 1425
Auto
78.5 15%
Teleop
291.9 57%
Endgame
143.0 28%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 38%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2811, 3674, 948
57
/ 100 compatProjected
213 pts
~0.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2811, 3674, 948
Auto
40.0 20%
Teleop
110.5 56%
Endgame
48.0 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 38%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 3.04 · Blue 0.87
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score516.5pts
Blue projected score213pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample230alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 38%, blue 24%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 303.5
- Score range
- 157–572
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
662.3Season APEX593
78.5Auto40
291.9Teleop110.5
143Endgame48
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 42 | 89 |
| teleop | 234 | 182 |
| endgame | 129 | 88 |
| foul | 0 | 30 |
| total | 405 | 389 |
Result
Final score
405 – 389
Prediction correct · off by 143.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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