Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

517.43 – 260.81

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

469 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 33.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 777.4 ±9.3

955Ctrl C

A+

Season APEX 311.5Event APEX 216.32Rank 3Record 9-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 203.15Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10079Arrowdynamics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 97.96Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.9 ±10.4

1294Pack of Parts

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 42.09Rank 46Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3674CloverBots

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 145.03Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4131Iron Patriots

Season APEX 95.7Event APEX 73.69Rank 48Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 955, 4469, 10079

/ 100 compat

Projected

517.4 pts

~3.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 955, 4469, 10079

Auto

98.3 19%

Teleop

281.6 55%

Endgame

131.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 81%

Supercharged: 41%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1294, 3674, 4131

/ 100 compat

Projected

260.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1294, 3674, 4131

Auto

55.5 21%

Teleop

136.0 52%

Endgame

69.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 81%

Supercharged: 41%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 3.17 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score517.4pts

Blue projected score260.8pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 81%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 41%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 256.6
Score range: 197–581
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 711 vs event baseline 357.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

777.4Season APEX339.9

98.3Auto55.5

281.6Teleop136

131Endgame69.5

117Consistency158

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	101	44
teleop	251	114
endgame	107	84
foul	10	0
total	469	242

Result

Final score

469 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 33.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.