Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

365.57 – 142.78

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

378 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 11.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 547.9 ±9.3

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 222.29Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10949Metalheads

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 11.37Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 131.91Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.3 ±10.5

5407Wolfpack Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 22.34Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10070Ghost Bots

Season APEX 102.6Event APEX 43.56Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 76.88Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 341, 10949, 2607

/ 100 compat

Projected

365.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 341, 10949, 2607

Auto

74.6 21%

Teleop

209.3 58%

Endgame

74.3 21%

Strengths

· 341 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5407, 10070, 708

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5407, 10070, 708

Auto

32.7 23%

Teleop

76.5 55%

Endgame

30.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score365.6pts

Blue projected score142.8pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 222.8
Score range: 119–390
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 511 vs event baseline 130.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

547.9Season APEX283.3

74.6Auto32.7

209.3Teleop76.5

74.3Endgame30.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	30
teleop	218	59
endgame	94	44
foul	0	0
total	378	133

Result

Final score

378 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 11.1 pts

Match videos

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