Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

356.9 – 86.04

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

404 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 547.9 ±9.3

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 219Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10949Metalheads

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 8.7Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 129.2Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237 ±12.2

102The Gearheads

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 26.37Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6226Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 24.73Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 34.94Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 341, 10949, 2607

/ 100 compat

Projected

356.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 341, 10949, 2607

Auto

75.1 21%

Teleop

204.6 58%

Endgame

72.8 21%

Strengths

· 341 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 102, 6226, 6921

/ 100 compat

Projected

86 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 102, 6226, 6921

Auto

14.9 18%

Teleop

49.7 59%

Endgame

20.3 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score356.9pts

Blue projected score86pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 270.9
Score range: 63–380
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 528 vs event baseline 128.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

547.9Season APEX237

75.1Auto14.9

204.6Teleop49.7

72.8Endgame20.3

0Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	23
teleop	227	48
endgame	81	53
foul	20	0
total	404	124

Result

Final score

404 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 pts

Match videos

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