Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
213.92 – 111.63
78%22%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
75 – 115
Prediction missed · off by 71.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 617.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 77.87Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.5Event APEX 22.26Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 113.79Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267 ±10.4
Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 25.32Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 92.7Event APEX 49.21Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 37.1Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3314, 10918, 484
81
/ 100 compatProjected
213.9 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3314, 10918, 484
Auto
34.9 16%
Teleop
117.5 56%
Endgame
59.2 28%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 423, 10993, 1168
57
/ 100 compatProjected
111.6 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 423, 10993, 1168
Auto
22.7 21%
Teleop
49.0 46%
Endgame
35.5 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 0.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score213.9pts
Blue projected score111.6pts
Red win probability78%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 102.3
- Score range
- 88–238
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
617.3Season APEX267
34.9Auto22.7
117.5Teleop49
59.2Endgame35.5
5Consistency65
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 37 |
| teleop | 25 | 38 |
| endgame | 18 | 40 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 75 | 115 |
Result
Final score
75 – 115
Prediction missed · off by 71.1 pts
Match videos
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