Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
158.47 – 116.01
63%37%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
86 – 180
Prediction missed · off by 68.2 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 189.5 ±12.8
Season APEX 102.6Event APEX 83.43Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 28.47Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 46.57Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237.1 ±9.9
Season APEX 32Event APEX 24.3Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 14Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 77.71Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10070, 11366, 6226
86
/ 100 compatProjected
158.5 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 10070, 11366, 6226
Auto
34.8 22%
Teleop
84.8 54%
Endgame
37.4 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2559, 433, 708
70
/ 100 compatProjected
116 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2559, 433, 708
Auto
24.8 22%
Teleop
65.0 57%
Endgame
24.0 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.22
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score158.5pts
Blue projected score116pts
Red win probability63%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 42.5
- Score range
- 96–178
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
189.5Season APEX237.1
34.8Auto24.8
84.8Teleop65
37.4Endgame24
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 44 | 49 |
| teleop | 24 | 88 |
| endgame | 13 | 28 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 86 | 180 |
Result
Final score
86 – 180
Prediction missed · off by 68.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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