Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
69.96 – 67.66
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
25 – 44
Prediction missed · off by 34.3 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 239.5 ±14.9
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 46.57Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 18.53Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 4.86Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.2 ±11
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 1.38Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 19.71Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 46.57Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11225, 5490, 75
50
/ 100 compatProjected
70 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11225, 5490, 75
Auto
22.3 33%
Teleop
28.9 43%
Endgame
15.8 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9416, 423, 428
49
/ 100 compatProjected
67.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 9416, 423, 428
Auto
19.0 29%
Teleop
26.8 40%
Endgame
20.4 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score70pts
Blue projected score67.7pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 2.3
- Score range
- 45–93
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
239.5Season APEX214.2
22.3Auto19
28.9Teleop26.8
15.8Endgame20.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 15 |
| teleop | 5 | 17 |
| endgame | 3 | 12 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 25 | 44 |
Result
Final score
25 – 44
Prediction missed · off by 34.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.