Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

85.76 – 25.08

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

123 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.7 ±11.6

428BoroBlasters

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 20.27Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10157Roman Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 41.8Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

102The Gearheads

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 23.69Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 126.2 ±13.9

10997St. George

Season APEX 28.9Event APEX 7.44Rank 33Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5490The Dark Byte

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 3.19Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

203SOUPERBOTS

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 14.45Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 428, 10157, 102

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 428, 10157, 102

Auto

19.5 25%

Teleop

34.3 43%

Endgame

25.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10997, 5490, 203

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10997, 5490, 203

Auto

5.0 21%

Teleop

8.8 37%

Endgame

10.1 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.8pts

Blue projected score25.1pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 60.7
Score range: 2–109
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 146 vs event baseline 129.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.7Season APEX126.2

19.5Auto5

34.3Teleop8.8

25.4Endgame10.1

43Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	15
teleop	62	1
endgame	25	7
foul	10	0
total	123	23

Result

Final score

123 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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