Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

42.14 – 86.87

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 28.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 164.6 ±11

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 9.5Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10949Metalheads

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 7.47Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5407Wolfpack Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 25.17Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.3 ±11.7

10993EP Robotics

Season APEX 92.7Event APEX 47.7Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11366Red Devil's Redemption

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 6.11Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1168Malvern Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 33.06Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6808, 10949, 5407

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6808, 10949, 5407

Auto

13.9 36%

Teleop

18.1 47%

Endgame

6.6 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10993, 11366, 1168

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10993, 11366, 1168

Auto

23.2 28%

Teleop

33.3 40%

Endgame

26.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score42.1pts

Blue projected score86.9pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -44.7
Score range: 19–110
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 186 vs event baseline 129.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

164.6Season APEX202.3

13.9Auto23.2

18.1Teleop33.3

6.6Endgame26.9

33Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	30
teleop	23	59
endgame	21	24
foul	5	5
total	68	118

Result

Final score

68 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 28.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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