Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

145.17 – 350.34

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

172 – 389

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.6 ±9.8

10918Bluesteel Dragons

Season APEX 86.5Event APEX 11.66Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 123.13Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9416International Θperatives of World Affairs

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 10.38Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 678.9 ±9.3

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 217.2Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 32.77Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 100.37Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10918, 272, 9416

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10918, 272, 9416

Auto

28.9 19%

Teleop

72.5 48%

Endgame

49.3 33%

Strengths

· 272 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 341, 6921, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 341, 6921, 484

Auto

65.0 19%

Teleop

209.7 60%

Endgame

72.3 21%

Strengths

· 341 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score145.2pts

Blue projected score350.3pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -205.2
Score range: 122–373
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 561 vs event baseline 127.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

394.6Season APEX678.9

28.9Auto65

72.5Teleop209.7

49.3Endgame72.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	60
teleop	82	245
endgame	58	84
foul	0	0
total	172	389

Result

Final score

172 – 389

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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