Qualification · Qualification 56
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
247.16 – 121.07
83%17%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
232 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 28.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 385.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 5.48Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 218.58Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 23.1Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 293.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 81.84Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 24.14Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 15.09Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5490, 341, 428
84
/ 100 compatProjected
247.2 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5490, 341, 428
Auto
64.7 27%
Teleop
130.8 55%
Endgame
40.5 17%
Strengths
- · 341 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 708, 75, 6808
60
/ 100 compatProjected
121.1 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 708, 75, 6808
Auto
31.1 26%
Teleop
64.8 55%
Endgame
21.6 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.78
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score247.2pts
Blue projected score121.1pts
Red win probability83%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 126.1
- Score range
- 98–270
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
385.6Season APEX293.2
64.7Auto31.1
130.8Teleop64.8
40.5Endgame21.6
64Consistency28
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 66 | 25 |
| teleop | 98 | 30 |
| endgame | 58 | 4 |
| foul | 10 | 20 |
| total | 232 | 79 |
Result
Final score
232 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 28.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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