Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

220.68 – 191.44

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

252 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 33.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 424 ±9.9

10600Two Steps Ahead

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 2.76Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5181Explorer Robotics

Season APEX 192.2Event APEX 90.62Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 127.3Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 477.6 ±9.8

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 106.18Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10157Roman Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 41.74Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10070Ghost Bots

Season APEX 102.6Event APEX 43.52Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10600, 5181, 2607

/ 100 compat

Projected

220.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10600, 5181, 2607

Auto

43.4 20%

Teleop

125.7 57%

Endgame

52.3 24%

Strengths

· 2607 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 484, 10157, 10070

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 484, 10157, 10070

Auto

36.7 19%

Teleop

102.6 53%

Endgame

52.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score220.7pts

Blue projected score191.4pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.2
Score range: 168–244
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 479 vs event baseline 125.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

424Season APEX477.6

43.4Auto36.7

125.7Teleop102.6

52.3Endgame52.5

0Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	14
teleop	122	138
endgame	75	70
foul	0	5
total	252	227

Result

Final score

252 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 33.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.