Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

154.49 – 54.49

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

156 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 15 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 310 ±9.8

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 82.1Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10993EP Robotics

Season APEX 92.7Event APEX 53.3Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

423Simple Machines

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 19.09Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 125.7 ±12.2

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 12.61Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2559Normality Zero

Season APEX 32Event APEX 27.88Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10989Blast Robotics

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 14Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 708, 10993, 423

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 708, 10993, 423

Auto

23.7 16%

Teleop

79.9 54%

Endgame

43.4 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6808, 2559, 10989

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6808, 2559, 10989

Auto

18.3 34%

Teleop

21.2 39%

Endgame

14.5 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score154.5pts

Blue projected score54.5pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 100
Score range: 31–177
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 127.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

310Season APEX125.7

23.7Auto18.3

79.9Teleop21.2

43.4Endgame14.5

27Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	16
teleop	88	47
endgame	53	20
foul	0	0
total	156	83

Result

Final score

156 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 15 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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