Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

144.4 – 65.38

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

148 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 6.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 358.7 ±9.8

5181Explorer Robotics

Season APEX 192.2Event APEX 89.41Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10070Ghost Bots

Season APEX 102.6Event APEX 43.1Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9416International Θperatives of World Affairs

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 11.89Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157.5 ±13.3

6226Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 28.5Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

203SOUPERBOTS

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 13.39Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

428BoroBlasters

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 23.49Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5181, 10070, 9416

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5181, 10070, 9416

Auto

31.5 21%

Teleop

73.9 49%

Endgame

44.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6226, 203, 428

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6226, 203, 428

Auto

20.8 33%

Teleop

32.6 52%

Endgame

9.8 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.97 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score144.4pts

Blue projected score65.4pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 79
Score range: 42–167
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 126.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

358.7Season APEX157.5

31.5Auto20.8

73.9Teleop32.6

44Endgame9.8

0Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	18
teleop	79	14
endgame	31	9
foul	0	15
total	148	56

Result

Final score

148 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 6.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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