Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.24 – 215

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 24.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.8 ±11

102The Gearheads

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 22.46Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 11.86Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 30.92Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.5 ±10.5

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 134.9Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2559Normality Zero

Season APEX 32Event APEX 32.83Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10157Roman Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 47.27Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 102, 6808, 6921

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 102, 6808, 6921

Auto

19.4 30%

Teleop

31.8 48%

Endgame

14.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 272, 2559, 10157

/ 100 compat

Projected

215 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 272, 2559, 10157

Auto

35.2 16%

Teleop

116.3 54%

Endgame

62.5 29%

Strengths

· 272 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.2pts

Blue projected score215pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -149.8
Score range: 42–238
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 232 vs event baseline 127.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.8Season APEX361.5

19.4Auto35.2

31.8Teleop116.3

14.5Endgame62.5

36Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	40
teleop	23	74
endgame	15	54
foul	10	0
total	64	168

Result

Final score

64 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 24.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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