Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

107.74 – 10.12

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

149 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 38.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 428.3 ±10.5

75RoboRaiders

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 22Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3314Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 62Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5407Wolfpack Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 23.74Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 94.8 ±13.9

10170ND Robotics

Season APEX 35.5Event APEX -2Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11366Red Devil's Redemption

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 6.2Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10997St. George

Season APEX 28.9Event APEX 5.92Rank 33Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 75, 3314, 5407

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 75, 3314, 5407

Auto

15.7 15%

Teleop

62.2 60%

Endgame

26.0 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10170, 11366, 10997

/ 100 compat

Projected

10.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10170, 11366, 10997

Auto

15.4 100%

Teleop

-3.6 0%

Endgame

-1.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.96 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score107.7pts

Blue projected score10.1pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.6
Score range: -13–131
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 127.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

428.3Season APEX94.8

15.7Auto15.4

62.2Teleop-3.6

26Endgame-1

21Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	12
teleop	72	18
endgame	58	15
foul	0	0
total	149	45

Result

Final score

149 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 38.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.