Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

283.18 – 49.22

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

358 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 552 ±9.3

10070Ghost Bots

Season APEX 102.6Event APEX 35.71Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 118.98Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 128.49Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.3 ±12.2

11366Red Devil's Redemption

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 5.56Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

428BoroBlasters

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 22.22Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

75RoboRaiders

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 21.44Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10070, 2607, 272

/ 100 compat

Projected

283.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10070, 2607, 272

Auto

54.0 19%

Teleop

156.1 55%

Endgame

75.6 26%

Strengths

· 272 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11366, 428, 75

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11366, 428, 75

Auto

28.6 67%

Teleop

12.6 29%

Endgame

1.6 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score283.2pts

Blue projected score49.2pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 234
Score range: 27–305
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 430 vs event baseline 124.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

552Season APEX214.3

54Auto28.6

156.1Teleop12.6

75.6Endgame1.6

0Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	12
teleop	187	40
endgame	99	20
foul	0	0
total	358	72

Result

Final score

358 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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