Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

218.72 – 60.31

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

270 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 381.9 ±11.2

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 217.77Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10170ND Robotics

Season APEX 35.5Event APEX -6.41Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9014Vulcan Mechanics

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 7.36Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208 ±10.4

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 15.23Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1168Malvern Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 27.49Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10918Bluesteel Dragons

Season APEX 86.5Event APEX 17.59Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 341, 10170, 9014

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 341, 10170, 9014

Auto

57.5 27%

Teleop

116.3 55%

Endgame

38.8 18%

Strengths

· 341 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6808, 1168, 10918

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6808, 1168, 10918

Auto

29.8 49%

Teleop

14.1 23%

Endgame

17.2 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score218.7pts

Blue projected score60.3pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 158.4
Score range: 38–241
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 122.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

381.9Season APEX208

57.5Auto29.8

116.3Teleop14.1

38.8Endgame17.2

45Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	16
teleop	154	36
endgame	57	10
foul	0	0
total	270	62

Result

Final score

270 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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