Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

275.6 – 165.95

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

292 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 9.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 440 ±10.5

10070Ghost Bots

Season APEX 102.6Event APEX 40.11Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5407Wolfpack Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 19.49Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 216Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 358.7 ±14

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 123.01Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11225Wolfimus

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 20.38Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

428BoroBlasters

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 22.56Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10070, 5407, 341

/ 100 compat

Projected

275.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10070, 5407, 341

Auto

66.2 24%

Teleop

146.5 54%

Endgame

60.2 22%

Strengths

· 341 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 272, 11225, 428

/ 100 compat

Projected

166 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 272, 11225, 428

Auto

37.1 23%

Teleop

83.8 52%

Endgame

40.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score275.6pts

Blue projected score166pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109.7
Score range: 141–301
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 455 vs event baseline 138.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

440Season APEX358.7

66.2Auto37.1

146.5Teleop83.8

60.2Endgame40.7

0Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	40
teleop	138	67
endgame	70	51
foul	5	5
total	292	163

Result

Final score

292 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 9.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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