Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

147.61 – 131.79

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

204 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 63.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 483.2 ±9.8

75RoboRaiders

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 15.36Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 117.2Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 15.05Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 190.8 ±12.4

6226Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 47.02Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

433Firebirds

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 55.04Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10989Blast Robotics

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 29.73Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 75, 272, 6921

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 75, 272, 6921

Auto

26.4 18%

Teleop

82.2 55%

Endgame

40.8 27%

Strengths

· 272 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6226, 433, 10989

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6226, 433, 10989

Auto

21.8 16%

Teleop

91.1 68%

Endgame

20.6 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score147.6pts

Blue projected score131.8pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15.8
Score range: 110–170
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 265 vs event baseline 124.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

483.2Season APEX190.8

26.4Auto21.8

82.2Teleop91.1

40.8Endgame20.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	9
teleop	118	33
endgame	53	19
foul	0	0
total	204	61

Result

Final score

204 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 63.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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