Qualification · Qualification 30
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
227.59 – 59.71
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
242 – 46
Prediction correct · off by 14.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 417.8 ±10.7
Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 115.57Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 26.23Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 85.79Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 240.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 86.5Event APEX 16.54Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX -3.59Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.6Event APEX 46.76Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 272, 10989, 708
82
/ 100 compatProjected
227.6 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 272, 10989, 708
Auto
42.6 19%
Teleop
118.0 53%
Endgame
63.4 28%
Strengths
- · 272 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10918, 5490, 10070
29
/ 100 compatProjected
59.7 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 10918, 5490, 10070
Auto
25.9 44%
Teleop
11.4 20%
Endgame
21.0 36%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.63
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score227.6pts
Blue projected score59.7pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 167.9
- Score range
- 37–251
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
417.8Season APEX240.6
42.6Auto25.9
118Teleop11.4
63.4Endgame21
1Consistency38
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 12 |
| teleop | 165 | 14 |
| endgame | 58 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 242 | 46 |
Result
Final score
242 – 46
Prediction correct · off by 14.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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