Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

144.77 – 49.56

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

177 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 388.5 ±11.2

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 24.65Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6226Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 43.26Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 76.86Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.2 ±14.4

11225Wolfimus

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 19.02Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 14.52Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10600Two Steps Ahead

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 16.02Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6808, 6226, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6808, 6226, 484

Auto

32.2 22%

Teleop

73.0 51%

Endgame

38.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11225, 6921, 10600

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11225, 6921, 10600

Auto

9.5 20%

Teleop

23.9 51%

Endgame

13.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score144.8pts

Blue projected score49.6pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.2
Score range: 27–168
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 224 vs event baseline 127.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

388.5Season APEX196.2

32.2Auto9.5

73Teleop23.9

38.4Endgame13.4

25Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	14
teleop	110	32
endgame	24	1
foul	0	0
total	177	47

Result

Final score

177 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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