Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.22 – 213.4

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

88 – 327

Prediction correct · off by 68.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 237.5 ±11.2

10949Metalheads

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX -22.82Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5490The Dark Byte

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 6.96Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 81.08Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 553.4 ±9.9

5407Wolfpack Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 27.15Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 126.27Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 59.98Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10949, 5490, 708

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10949, 5490, 708

Auto

8.2 14%

Teleop

38.4 65%

Endgame

12.8 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5407, 2607, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5407, 2607, 484

Auto

30.8 14%

Teleop

127.8 60%

Endgame

54.6 26%

Strengths

· 2607 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.2pts

Blue projected score213.4pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -148.2
Score range: 43–235
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 415 vs event baseline 121.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

237.5Season APEX553.4

8.2Auto30.8

38.4Teleop127.8

12.8Endgame54.6

75Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	47
teleop	36	212
endgame	14	63
foul	15	5
total	88	327

Result

Final score

88 – 327

Prediction correct · off by 68.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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